Prediction markets
A live read of crypto and sports prediction markets — the leading outcome, the implied chance and how much money is on each — pulled from Polymarket, with a crypto Fear & Greed gauge beside it. Implied probability is what traders are paying, not a forecast. When you want a book to bet with, Dexsport is the wallet-only one this desk points to.
The board
Leading outcome, implied chance and 24h/total volume, pulled live from Polymarket. Implied chance is the market price, not a forecast.
live from Polymarket · 06 Oct 2026 20:03 UTC
| Market | Leading | Implied chance | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 Drivers' Champion | Kimi Antonelli | 93% | $203.3M | 2027-04-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? | Bitcoin dip | 100% | $70.2M | 2027-01-01 |
| Pro Football: 2027 Champion | the Buffalo Bills | 12% | $59.8M | 2027-04-01 |
| MLB World Series Champion 2026 | the Los Angeles Dodgers | 30% | $41.2M | 2026-10-31 |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | another team | 50% | $39.5M | 2027-06-20 |
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 | Harry Kane | 58% | $38.4M | 2027-01-01 |
| F1 Constructors' Champion | Mercedes | 96% | $28.9M | 2027-04-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k? | Bitcoin | 38% | $27.3M | 2027-01-01 |
| 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | Alexander Zverev | 100% | $26.4M | 2026-11-01 |
| NBA: 2027 Champion | Oklahoma City Thunder | 20% | $22.3M | 2027-07-01 |
| MLS Cup Winner 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21% | $20.3M | 2027-01-01 |
| EPL: 2027 Champion | Team A | 50% | $18.3M | 2027-06-15 |
| What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? | Ethereum | 100% | $16.1M | 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in September? | Bitcoin | 100% | $13.9M | 2026-10-01 |
| Bitcoin all time high by ___? | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026 | 9% | $10.3M | 2027-01-01 |
Implied chance is the current market price on Polymarket — what traders are paying for an outcome, not a prediction and not advice. Prices move and markets can be wrong; resolution rules matter more than the headline number. Do your own research and gamble responsibly. 18+.
Sponsored · our one pick
A prediction market shows what a crowd is paying for an outcome; a sportsbook is where you take a fixed-odds bet. When readers ask where to actually bet, we point to Dexsport — the sponsor of this desk and the clearest wallet-only, self-custodial, no-KYC example in the space.
It is one pick, disclosed as sponsored. The facts on the right are from Dexsport’s own published terms, checked on the date shown. The market numbers above are data, separate from this recommendation.
Dexsport sponsors this desk and is the cleanest live example of the wallet-first, self-custodial model behind on-chain betting.
Connect a Web3 wallet and bet — no email, no document upload, no verification queue. The friction between a page like this and a placed bet is about as low as it gets.
Your balance stays in your own wallet until you place a bet, so no operator holds your funds between sessions. You keep control of the bankroll.
86+ assets across 25+ chains means you can fund in whatever rail you already hold, stablecoin or otherwise, without being funnelled onto one.
Winnings settle as the transaction confirms — no multi-day wait between a result and your funds being back under your control.
On a prediction market, each outcome trades as a share that settles at 1 if it happens and 0 if it does not. The price therefore reads as a probability: a ‘Yes’ at 0.15 means the market is paying about 15% for that outcome. That is the ‘implied chance’ in the table.
Volume shows how much money has moved through a market — a thin market can show a confident-looking price on very little real conviction, so read price and volume together, not price alone.
A prediction market is peer-to-peer: you trade against other people, and the price floats with supply and demand. A sportsbook sets fixed odds and takes the other side of your bet itself. Neither is a forecast — both are prices.
Prediction-market prices can lead the news or lag it, and markets can simply be wrong. Treat the implied chance as one input, and always read the market’s resolution rules before you trust the number.
Dutch gambling is licensed through the Kansspelautoriteit (KSA). The offshore crypto books referenced here are not KSA-licensed, and nothing on this page is legal or financial advice — check your own situation before you act.
If you choose to bet, treat an offshore book like any offshore service: local consumer protections do not apply, so set your own limits and never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
From Polymarket, a public prediction-market source the wider Dexsport network uses. The board shows when it was last fetched. Polymarket’s public data is keyless.
It is the current market price for the leading outcome, read as a probability — a ‘Yes’ priced at 0.15 implies about 15%. It is a price, not a forecast or a guaranteed result.
No. The numbers describe what a market is paying right now. They are not a prediction and not betting, trading or investment advice. Markets move and can be wrong.
Dexsport sponsors this desk, disclosed wherever it appears, and is a clean example of the wallet-only, self-custodial model we describe.
This is information, not advice. Offshore crypto books are not KSA-licensed. If you bet, local protections do not apply — set your own limits.
When you want a book, Dexsport is our sponsored #1 pick — wallet-only sign-up, self-custody and instant on-chain payouts.
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